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How the Internet Changes the Competitive Battleground

HUB AND SPOKES reliable or am I being sold snake oil?For
AS A NEW BUSINESS STRUCTURENatural the most part, the Internet has quickly
market forces that lead to consolidation done away with each one of these
and the law of twos happen even faster on obstacles and offers added benefits as
the Internet. The "best" products are well:
anointed, information is rapidly When a medium can fully explain or show
distributed, and customers (who face no how a product works, then a large portion
geographic limits) seek out these "hot" of the product's sales typically shifts
places. Moreover, as brands become from agents to direct sales by
familiar, consumers increasingly seek manufacturers or suppliers.The Internet
them out because they have has a unique capability (interactivity
credibility.Unique to the Web is combined with a low-cost avenue for
something which may be called a communications) to make complex items
"hub-and-spoke strategy" . This also such as financial products
facilitates the law of twos: A comprehensible. Because of the Internet's
hub-and-spoke strategy is the ability to filter, the consumer is
increasingly common arrangement where a presented with information directly
major retailer establishes relationships relevant to his or her situation and
with other Web sites, promising them a therefore avoids wading through a stack
percentage of any sales (generally 5 to of folders and brochures. A well-designed
15 percent) that result from any traffic site can explain all of the product
sent to the retailer by these features and benefits of whole life
"affiliates." It's not uncommon for a insurance policies and annuities. As a
major affiliate program to have over result, these products can now be sold
10,000 participating members, all of whom directly by their providers over the Web,
refer traffic to the central site. What's since agents are no longer needed to
even more interesting is the extent to explain the products.Time and
which this type of business model is Self-Generated Recommendations In
proliferating: Refer-it is a site that addition to making the complex clear and
lists credible affiliate programs for comprehensible, the Web saves customers
prospective members. As we go to press, time. In essence, this represents a
it is approaching 500 distinct plans.The system that employs interactive tools to
Internet is already taking its place as a both explain the product and recommend
central tool in everyday business life. what consumers should purchase.
Each aspect of commerce is changing in Convenience The convenience offered by
light of the new capabilities available. the Internet is also a factor that will
The coming changes are so powerful that further the shift to direct sales.
it is both terrifying and exciting. The Everyone with Internet access can now
first phase of Internet business has shop for products and services at any
principally focused on the creation of time that's convenient without prior
new types of businesses: The next phase research or preparation. As a result, the
will involve the impact of these "preparation impediment" to direct
developments on brick-and-mortar shopping is removed.
businesses and on the economy as a Large chains with inefficient operations
whole.The new capabilities that the or those saddled with the high overhead
Internet makes available for costs related to maintaining a
business-to-business commerce and for brick-and-mortar business will face price
business-to-consumer sales will transform pressure that could well endanger their
many industries from top to bottom. ongoing operations.CHANGING THE SALES
Winning companies will understand that in CHAIN: CHANNEL CONFLICTHistorically,
the emerging era success now requires new consumer product businesses have operated
rules for action and the mastery by the with a well-defined chain of sales:Making
organization of different types of the transition from selling through a
skills.Questions may arise on what the middleman to selling direct (channel
future will look like: "Will my business conflict) is a troubling issue many
be helped or hurt?" "What should I do to businesses are wrestling with right now.
survive?" Until recently, the pace of On the one hand, retailers naturally
change has been so great that attempts at become "unhappy" with manufacturers who,
answering these questions were often in their view, go around them and
unsatisfying.Elements that will play a directly to the consumer with a lower
central role in how the Internet economy price. On the other hand, the
evolves. These elements have the manufacturer may observe cost-advantaged
potential to greatly harm our economy or direct sellers who, because of lower
to power us into prosperity for the prices as a result of lower distribution
twenty-first century. The best way to costs, are winning business and market
discuss these ideas is to provide two share. In addition, a company may have
contrasting visions of the future: its entire sales force dedicated to
The Potential Downside of Internet selling through the retail channel.Right
Growth More than any other aspect of the now channel conflict is probably the most
Internet, shopping "bots," software that difficult, vexing problem faced by
searches the entire companies in this hypercompetitive
Internet for products and services based environment
on predefined criteria (price being the The problem of channel conflict is a
most popular), have the capacity to offer central reason the PC business is an
great benefit to consumers while industry on a high wire. If everyone in
potentially bringing great harm to an industry moves through retailers,
businesses. there is a fairly defined set of
Today the major Internet portals, competitive rules. However, it is
include Google , Yahoo and MSN , all absolutely predictable that if direct
have shopping initiatives with selling makes sense, then someone will
participating retailers that are, at enter the market. It may even be a brash
least in part, powered by bots (also upstart with no roots in the retail
called "intelligent software shopping distribution business. For the PC
agents"). A visit to will reveal that industry, that upstart was Dell.At some
there are already over many easy-to-use point PC owners compared notes about
bots that are available for businesses where they had purchased their computers
and consumers. Each bot typically has a and what they had paid, "I ordered it
specialized function, ranging from direct from Dell" became a frequently
financial bots that perform stock-related heard report, and before long Compaq and
functions to news-gathering bots to IBM realized they had a problem.. What
auction-related bots.The more businesses was Dell doing right, that these other
and consumers rely on price as the sole manufacturers had missed?The increasing
criterion for purchase, the more price popularity of the Internet meshed
pressure every manufacturer and retailer perfectly with Dell's sales model of
will feel. Bots that search for the best selling computers direct to customers. On
price have the potential to trigger the Web, customers could visit Dell's
ruinous price wars. At some point, price site, decide what they wanted, see images
wars can ruin industries or set back (something that wasn't possible over the
their development by several years phone), and place a direct order. Since
through lack of funds for investment in Dell had no inventory tied up in a retail
new and better services. To me, this is sales channel, the company had an
the frightening downside of a world where estimated cost advantage of 10 to 15
customers can buy from anywhere and percent over its competitors who sold
essentially name their price.The Internet through retail stores.
is already demonstrating some of this Moreover, Dell could react instantly to
behavior. At this time, we are changes in consumer-buying
witnessing deep discounting on the part patterns.Dell's lower-cost
of large Internet retailers to attract Internet-oriented methods created chaos
customers. For ongoing businesses, this throughout the PC industry-chaos that
type of discounting is unlikely to be continues to this day. Using their own
sustainable.The pace of change in the brands, retailers now actively compete
past year has been so incredible that a with everyone, including their suppliers.
growing population-from executives to While Compaq and IBM both developed
retirees-feel they have more than passing innovative techniques that permitted them
familiarity with the Internet. However, to lower costs and deliver custom PCs
this newly claimed "knowledge" of Web through retailers, Dell continued to gain
sites and portals and e-mail techniques market share and grow in profitability.
belies the fact that the Internet is The importance of this issue cannot be
still so new that there are no rules for overstated.
"play."Internet services, including Keep in mind that if existing companies
comparison services, software agents such don't grasp opportunities, others
as bots, and new digital middlemen, will.."It may take years for an industry
enable easier access to information and, to be turned on its head by direct sales,
as a result, fundamentally change the but product manufacturers need to plan
competitive battleground.Stores that for that eventuality. For example, one
pitted themselves against each other could argue that record labels would
generally rose to the occasion and even Never sell directly online-a move that
employed "comparison shoppers," who would effectively go around online music
cruised the aisles of competitors, stores, not to mention brick-and-mortar
reporting on pricing so that the store music stores. Never assume that
owner could price competitively. And lower-cost direct distribution won't
signs touting "We'll Beat Anyone's happen because of channel conflict.TWO
Prices" covered any store that wanted to GUARANTEED BENEFITS THAT ARE CHANGING
preserve business no matter what.The COMPANIES INTERNALLY: INSTANT
Internet radically changes this dynamic. COMMUNICATIONS AND LOWER COMPANY COSTSBy
Not only can consumers move easily from seamlessly linking people and entities
one Web site to another, checking out the around the world, the Internet can
products and services at each, but many accelerate the speed of new product
Internet services are specifically development and introduction while
designed to promote comparisons among lowering the cost of operations
products or services within a category, throughout the enterprise.
and another growing class of The Web offers a whole new way of
businesses-digital age middlemen-are setting up a business. If a company were
actively working to create bidding never to sell a single "widget" online,
situations among several suppliers that it would still be worth mounting a Web
lead to lower prices for consumers and strategy.The Internet permits companies
businesses. These new classes of Web to cut costs through seamless, automated
sites raise the stakes throughout an communications both within the company
industry. Competition takes two forms: (intranets) and with the company's
between manufacturers or service suppliers (extranets). Moreover, these
providers -for the product or service to communication systems can dramatically
be purchased-and between "stores" as the lessen the time involved to produce
place to purchase.Companies now operate specific products because various
in a world where comparison shop- departments and outside suppliers can
ping is almost effortless, geographic communicate automatically.
boundaries are eliminated, and the pace Strategies 2, "Speed Is Everything," and
of activity is far faster.WHAT HAPPENS IN 3, "Cut Costs and Increase Efficiency
THE MARKETPLACEIn the online environment, Using the Web," detail many of the ways
anyone offering a particular product companies are benefiting by using the
competes with everyone else offering that Web. As companies are striving to compete
product or something similar. On any in the emerging environment, they must
given day, a customer may be able to also grapple with competitors who have
locate several - or several put these new technologies to work: for
hundred-online stores selling what he or faster and lower cost operations, for
she wants, and the customer can then increasing the speed of their
determine from which vendor to purchase product development and deployment, and
the item. A recent search using a to more effectively manage a worldwide
comparison service such as Froogle sales force at lower costs.FOUR MORE
identified that a specific HP All-In-One REASONS WHY THE INTERNET UPSETS THE
Multifunction printer was available APPLECARTThe Internet is creating
from 57 different stores from $ 57 to $ fundamental widespread changes in the
170 .Bots, the comparison services, and world of business. Comparison shopping,
the new digital age middlemen can all the breakdown of geographic boundaries,
work in a variety of ways. Some the increase in direct sales, the
comparison services are operated by reduction in costs, and the incessant
retailers; the site generally posts need for speed-all as a result of the
information on how specific products sold Internet-have led to vast changes. But
by the store compare in price and quality there are still more ways in which the
with the competition. Other services are Internet is affecting businesses of all
stand-alone Web-based businesses offering types. At this point, your industry may
comparisons among a variety of be affected by one or all of the changes
manufacturers.Bots (Intelligent Software discussed; very few businesses aren't
Shopping Agents)Today Product Finder, affected at all, and if you're in this
along with hundreds of other "bot" minute minority, prepare anyway. The
services that are now on the Web, is tsunami is coming.
still in its infancy. However, it has /. The Internet facilitates the sale of
already stimulated the creation of sites personalized products.Consumers' desire
that feature comparison shopping facts, for customized products has been well
and I guarantee that these bots will play documented over the past several years.
a role in changing the future of Who wouldn't want something made exactly
commerce.Sites Offering Price for them? Similarly, businesses have
ComparisonOn the Web, competition for always needed custom configurations-which
customers is fierce. Because bots can were presented in paper-based orders. In
shop the Web for a customer, companies recent years, the ability to manufacture
have been forced to design their Web mass-customized products, at acceptable
sites with comparison shopping in mind. costs, has been developed. The Internet
The Net has facilitated explosive growth provides the missing piece: the perfect
of comparison services that stretch sales channel.The very nature of the Web
across the full spectrum of products and makes it an ideal mechanism for
services. It's impossible to even custom-based orders. Buyers-whether
estimate how many exist today and new consumers or businesses - can see
services-for unserved categories or with pictures or illustrations of the
better features in categories that components via the Internet, and the
already have such services-are constantly order specifications can often be tied
popping up: directly to an automated system that
New digital age middlemen only intensify checks accuracy, with the site saying, in
the competition . effect, "Yes, feature A can be added to
Digital Age MiddlemenAn additional feature B," so the possibility of
factor in the spread of Hyper Wars is the paper-based errors is reduced.
emergence of a new kind of business, 4. Products that can be sold through
"digital age middlemen This broad range searchable databases (any type of
of entities may share one or more of the offering where the buyer provides
following characteristics: specifications and the seller tries to
First, they create a "more perfect match those requirements) are going to
market" for buyers and sellers by become highly competitive online
improving the information available to products.Consider planning for your
both sides regarding the demand and summer vacation. If you're scanning the
supply of products.Second, they generally newspaper for a summer rental in the
serve as electronic gathering places general vicinity of your city, you might
where buyers meet potential sellers for have to read the listings for several
specific industries or types of products. different geographic areas and then scan
In this sense, successful digital age through the ads as grouped by a Realtor.
middlemen are typically vertically Contrast that to searching for a summer
focused and aim to serve a very specific home online: Log on, go to one of the
market, such as buyers of specific classified ad sites (many, but not all,
financial products, or specific kinds of of which have been put up by newspapers),
engineers or electronics firms. and then enter the qualities you're
Occasionally this leads to selling the looking for: preferred township, timing,
same products at different prices . cost, number of bedrooms, and "walking
Third, the digital age middlemen defy distance of beach," for example. Within
traditional boundaries. Location, company seconds a range of selections will be
size, the time required to get competing presented.These offerings are
bids from many potential suppliers, and unquestionably faster and better than
the time involved in searching for working through traditional newspaper
potential new suppliers are all factors ads. They may even eventually cause some
that have traditionally created offerings to be cheaper, since you'll
"competitive advantages" for specific have all the listings in front of you and
companies in specific situations; these you can compare carefully. As newspapers
services work to eliminate these fight to retain their revenues against
constraints.And fourth, they all provide Web-based competitors of all kinds-for
a buying mechanism of some type. Often, everything from home purchases and
digital age middlemen pit potential apartment rentals to cars and job
sellers against each other, and generally listings -new types of competitive
the one with the lowest price earns the behavior will inevitably result.SPEED AND
business. THE LAW OF TWOSOften categories of
For buyers, the effect of digital age businesses start as "a ladder of many
middlemen is to make goods rungs," but that all categories gradually
and services available at lower become "a two-rung affair," where
prices.DIRECT SALES ARE EXPANDING, competition resides primarily among the
TRANSFORMING THE MARKETPLACE top two contenders, such as Pepsi and
Experience to date strongly suggests Coke, Hertz and Avis, McDonald's and
that the Internet will accelerate the Wendy's . It's not that there are no
shift to direct sales by manufacturers, other competitors, but that the lion's
thereby creating a major change in the share of the market ends up split among
way both businesses and consumers shop. the top two competitors.The Internet,
and services available at lower however, accelerates the playing out of
prices.For buyers, of course, the the law of twos. There is nothing gradual
downward pressure on prices is a welcome about what happens here. Because of its
benefit of the Web. For sellers, however, focus on comparative shopping, instant
digital age middlemen are a central communications, and easy distribution of
factor in the emergence of Hyper Wars. By information, the Internet accelerates the
creating a "more perfect market" with speed of competition. As might be
full information, fewer geographic expected, the law of twos occurs even
boundaries, and more potential suppliers, faster.At the "dawn" of the Internet age,
the level of price competition reaches a there were over ten browser companies.
new degree of intensity, making it harder Now there are primarily two entities
to generate profitable revenues. As these Microsoft .and Foxfire .Similarly, all of
online middlemen proliferate, each the other major Internet business
transaction will feel to the seller even categories (thus far, music, books, auto
more like a battle in a war that is waged buying, online stock trading, and travel)
in hyperspace. have consolidated rapidly, leaving just a
DIRECT SALES ARE EXPANDING, TRANSFORMING few major players.At first blush, it may
THE MARKETPLACE seem as though the idea of rapid industry
Experience to date strongly suggests consolidation and the law of twos is in
that the Internet will accelerate the conflict with a central theme of this
shift to direct sales by manufacturers, book-that market success can be fleeting.
thereby creating a major change in the In fact, they are complementary. The law
way both businesses and consumers of twos suggests that there will be
shop.Over time, the percentage of all consolidation in an industry as we
products sold directly from manufacturers currently define it. However, what the
or service providers to end users has Internet makes it possible for new
been increasing, and the cost of having a entrants to redefine an When this
middleman is being eliminated. This redefinition takes place, the entire
phenomenon has accelerated whenever the cycle starts once again: Typically there
development of new technologies or new are multiple entrants pursuing this new
media has provided ways to overcome what idea of the industry and rapid
are generally perceived as the four consolidation then occurs.Although there
barriers to direct sales: has already been consolidation among many
1. The consumer's need to see the item online businesses, the potential for
being purchased radical change remains: Entirely new
2. Product complexity business concepts are likely to evolve
3. Access to product information and start the process of intense
4. The consumer's need to judge competition all over again.
legitimacy. Is this person and company




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